Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.466554 2.856251 3.296419 3.832177 4.469022 5.204697 6.123033
2025-02-16 1.887471 2.395025 3.031358 3.895532 5.050482 6.557701 8.701283
2025-02-23 1.589837 2.142090 2.884065 3.969422 5.542842 7.782008 11.284865
2025-03-02 1.355698 1.913528 2.704610 3.932104 5.832262 8.735948 13.656443
2025-03-09 1.208440 1.775432 2.618130 3.995371 6.255894 9.940430 16.662319
2025-03-16 1.070222 1.626538 2.487017 3.957521 6.497375 10.879777 19.422404
2025-03-23 0.962553 1.507963 2.382417 3.938735 6.755851 11.881299 22.518134
2025-03-30 0.862894 1.388312 2.257822 3.862299 6.891623 12.675333 25.392071
2025-04-06 0.801967 1.324604 2.217067 3.924440 7.288001 14.033264 29.776756
2025-04-13 0.726313 1.226466 2.103491 3.833782 7.369413 14.769038 32.972287
2025-04-20 0.693555 1.199707 2.113391 3.978240 7.946946 16.661064 39.420475
2025-04-27 0.645394 1.139522 2.053894 3.975480 8.211844 17.913232 44.635499
2025-05-04 0.606504 1.099404 2.041120 4.096728 8.843162 20.335648 54.338836
2025-05-11 0.562313 1.045608 1.998145 4.156335 9.373708 22.733924 65.260329
2025-05-18 0.525783 1.001608 1.967639 4.236261 9.970609 25.485589 78.615552
2025-05-25 0.483194 0.939870 1.891135 4.196067 10.255574 27.474719 90.476982
2025-06-01 0.454331 0.902894 1.862378 4.264184 10.844315 30.543226 107.958484
2025-06-08 0.420558 0.851423 1.794509 4.223431 11.124326 32.765693 123.500451
2025-06-15 0.391885 0.807725 1.738479 4.203206 11.461082 35.297997 141.985708
2025-06-22 0.362263 0.758657 1.663721 4.120923 11.594570 37.196933 158.932657
2025-06-29 0.344483 0.734430 1.644957 4.187816 12.213049 41.074552 188.380951
2025-07-06 0.319166 0.690125 1.571824 4.090229 12.277480 42.905014 208.605123
2025-07-13 0.309332 0.681174 1.585555 4.245739 13.237732 48.683089 256.135189